Poll shows Ashley Moody leading Angie Nixon in Florida's U.S. Senate race

Republican Ashley Moody is leading Democrat Angie Nixon in Florida's U.S. Senate race, a new NBC6/Telemundo Station Group poll found.

With less than a month before the Nov. 3 election, Moody leads Nixon by 50% to 40%, with 2% supporting Independent Neil Gillespie and 8% undecided, according to the Mason-Dixon poll released Tuesday.

Moody receives support from men (57% to 31% with 10% undecided) while Nixon is supported by women (48% to 43% with 7% undecided).

White voters support Moody (61% to 29%) while Black voters support Nixon (81% to 10%), with Hispanic voters supporting Moody (47% to 40%).

How is the vote split?

Support for the candidates is mostly split along party lines, with registered Democrats supporting Nixon over Moody 87% to 5% with 8% undecided and registered Republicans backing Moody over Nixon 91% to 3% with 5% undecided.

Independents support Nixon over Moody 41% to 35%, with 8% for Gillespie and 16% undecided.

Moody receives support from North Florida (58% to 35%), Central Florida (54% to 35%), and Southwest Florida (57% to 32%), while Nixon receives support in Southeast Florida (48% to 42%). The two split the Tampa Bay area (44% to 44%).

Younger voters age 18 to 34 support Nixon (51% to 39%) while those 35 to 49 support Moody (48% to 44%). Moody also receives support from those aged 50 to 64 (53% to 35%) and 65 or older (54% to 34%).

Moody and Nixon are vying to serve the final two years of the term Secretary of State Marco Rubio won in 2022. Gov. Ron DeSantis appointed Moody, the former attorney general of Florida, to the seat last year after Trump selected Rubio for his cabinet.

Nixon has served in the Florida House of Representatives since 2020 and is a member of the Democratic Socialists of America.

How do voters feel about a democratic socialist candidate?

The Mason-Dixon poll also asked Florida voters what impact being a Democratic Socialist would have on their vote.

Of those asked, 52% said they would be less likely to vote for a self-described Democratic Socialist with 8% saying they would be more likely and 35% saying it would have no effect.

The poll was conducted from Sept. 28 to Oct. 1, surveying a total of 625 randomly selected registered Florida voters live by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the Nov. 3 general election.

Of the 625 voters, 277 were registered Republicans, 214 were registered Democrats and 134 were registered as Independent.

The survey's margin for error is no more than ± 4 percentage points, meaning there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if all voters were surveyed.

The poll