NFL trends, betting predictions: Take over for Raiders, Seahawks, Chiefs

Bruce Marshall is a handicapper for WagerTalk.com. He provides the Review-Journal with college football notes and trends.

Cincinnati at Atlanta (at Madrid): Bengals have won their last three outright this season but are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games of 2026. They’re also on a 4-1 over run. Falcons are 3-2 as underdogs this season since Michael Penix returned to the lineup in late September and are also 4-1-1 to the over since his return. Edge: Over and Falcons, based on totals and team trends.

Dallas at Indianapolis: Cowboys are just 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 road games and are on an 11-2-1 over run. Colts, however, are just 1-5 against the spread in their last six games at Lucas Oil Stadium. Edge: Over, based on totals trends.

New York Jets at Kansas City: Jets have dropped six of their last seven outright this season, covering only twice in that span. They have also gone over in their last three games. Chiefs have dropped three of their last four and failed to cover in four of their last six games this season. They are also on an 11-4 under run since late 2025, though only 4-3 to the under this season. Edge: Slight lean to the over, based on recent totals trends.

Detroit at Miami: Lions are just 3-6 against the spread on the road since mid-2025 (1-2 this season) and are 3-0 to the over away from home in 2026. Dolphins are currently on a surprising 4-0 ATS streak. Edge: Dolphins and slight lean to the over, based on recent and totals trends.

Cleveland at New Orleans: Browns are 4-2 in their last six games as underdogs this season and 2-3 against the spread on the road in 2026. Saints are 1-4 outright and ATS in their last five games this season and 0-3 outright and ATS at the Superdome. Edge: Slight lean to the Browns, based on recent trends.

New York Giants at Philadelphia: The series has not been as one-sided in recent years as many might think, as these teams have split their last eight meetings against the spread. Eagles are now on a downward trajectory, having lost six straight outright and posting a 1-7 ATS mark in 2026. They are also on a 1-8 ATS skid since late 2025. Giants are 3-1-1 outright and 4-1 ATS in their last five games this season, and 5-2 ATS overall in 2026 under John Harbaugh. The Giants have also gone over in their last four games. Edge: Giants and slight lean to the over, based on team and totals trends.

Los Angeles Rams at Washington: Rams have won and covered their last two games, their first winning streak of the season. They are still just 2-2 outright and ATS away from SoFi Stadium in 2026, 4-7 ATS since late 2025 and 2-6 ATS in their last eight road games. Commanders are 3-1 in their last four as home underdogs and 9-5 ATS at home since late 2024. Edge: Commanders, based on extended trends.

Denver at Carolina: Broncos, as harrowing as it can sometimes be, have won and covered six of their last seven games this season. Denver is on a 9-2 ATS run since late 2025 and is 21-5 outright in the regular season since late 2024. Panthers have gone over in their last four games in Charlotte since late 2025. Edge: Broncos and slight lean to the over, based on team and totals trends.

Houston at Los Angeles Chargers: Texans have won and covered against the Chargers in each of the last two seasons and are 4-1 ATS in their last five regular-season road games. Chargers are on an 0-10 outright and 0-9-1 ATS skid since late 2025. They are also on an 11-1-1 under run since late 2025. Edge: Texans and under, based on team and totals trends.

Green Bay at New England: Packers enter the weekend on a four-game ATS streak and have gone under in each of their last four games. Patriots have failed to cover their last three games this season. Edge: Packers and under, based on recent and totals trends.

Raiders at San Francisco: Raiders have covered four of their last five road games since late last season and have gone over in each of their last six games in 2026. Niners are just 2-3 ATS in their last five games this season. Edge: Over and slight lean to the Raiders, based on totals and team trends.

Arizona at Seattle: Seahawks have won the last 10 meetings outright, including a 31-7 victory and cover in Arizona on Sept. 20, and have covered the last five in the series. Cardinals, however, have played better on the road, winning and covering three of four away from home. Arizona is also on a 5-1 over run. Seattle is just 2-4-2 ATS this season. Edge: Over and Cardinals, based on totals and team trends.

Tampa Bay at Chicago: Buccaneers have won and covered back-to-back games and three of their last four. Their only loss in that span came in overtime at home against the Steelers on Oct. 18. Tampa Bay had been on a 13-game ATS skid before its recent turnaround. Bears have won and covered three straight since the return of Caleb Williams and have gone over in each of those games. Chicago is also on an 8-2 ATS run since late 2025. Edge: Slight lean to the Bears and the over, based on team and totals trends.

Buffalo at Minnesota (Monday): Bills are 6-0-1 to the over in their last seven road games and 10-3-1 to the over since late 2025. Vikings are on an 8-3-1 ATS run since late 2025 and are 4-1 in their last five games as underdogs. Edge: Vikings and slight lean to the over, based on team and totals trends.