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Although we begin the workweek on a quiet note, we will have lots to talk about by its end.

A developing storm system could bring widespread rain and gusty winds to the region between Thursday and Friday — with the possibility of seeing the season’s first snowflakes for parts of the Hudson Valley.

But before you rush out to get the snow shovels ready, know that the confidence in seeing some wet snow mixed in with the rain in areas farther inland and at high elevations is very low, with little to no accumulation or meaningful impacts expected.

Rain for most, but could a few snowflakes mix in?

The track of the storm will ultimately decide if we see rain, snow or nothing at all, as the developing storm system moves toward the Northeast late Thursday into Friday. Currently, there is low model consensus as to how the storm will develop and how close it will be to the area when it strengthens and begins to exit the region Friday night into Saturday.

It is this latter time, when parts of the Hudson Valley could see a few wet snowflakes where colder conditions in the higher elevations farther inland could allow some snow to mix in briefly. So, while rain is expected to be the main form of precipitation, colder conditions in the higher elevations farther inland could allow some snow to mix in briefly. However, the chances of this occurring remain low because there isn’t a strong source of colder air near the ground, which is needed for the snowflakes to not only develop but also stick to the surface.

Even in areas where a few snowflakes manage to mix in, this does not mean accumulating snow, with little to no accumulation expected. The current forecast indicates that any potential wet snow would have negligible impacts. The possibility of seeing a few flakes is worth watching, but this is not shaping up to be a meaningful snow event. The bigger weather story remains the potential for widespread rainfall and gusty winds toward the end of the workweek.

When will the rain and wind arrive?

There are still some important variations in how the developing storm system could evolve. One possible scenario brings light rain Thursday into Friday morning, followed by improving conditions as the storm moves offshore. Another scenario would allow the system to redevelop near the coast, bringing another round of rain Friday night that could continue into Saturday morning.

Some gusty winds are also possible, particularly closer to the coast and as the system departs.

The bottom line

Could the Hudson Valley see its first snowflakes of the season? Yes, there is still a possibility, particularly across higher elevations farther inland late Friday night into early Saturday.

Should you get your shovels and snow boots ready? No, because chances remain low, and little to no accumulation is expected.

For now your best course of action is to enjoy the sunny and slightly above average days we will be enjoying during the beginning of the week and stay tuned for further updates on the storm as it begins to develop during the next couple of days.